21 July 2008
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A single hectare can generate 8,000 gallons of oil, 2,400 gallons of ethanol a year and 2.6 tons of glycerin,...
1 sq km = 100 Hectares can therefore generate 800,000 gallons of oil.
21 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
21 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
22 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
The programme was actually polemical and since when are polemics supposed to be impartial?
Yet for daring to suggest that there is no proven link between human activity and global warming (not least because there has been a marked atmospheric cooling in recent years), the programme makers were deluged with protests in what looked suspiciously like an orchestrated operation by the true believers. One complaint was 188 pages long and alleged 137 breaches of the Broadcasting Code.
Yet while Ofcom ruled that its rules on partiality had been broken, it also concluded that that this did not lead to viewers being “materially misled”.
In other words, the programme makers had sought to debunk a cherished theory by challenging an orthodox view, yet did so in a way that did not mislead the viewer. So what exactly is the problem?
The subsequent comparison with the Goracle's Inconvenient Truthyness is well noted. It seems some people believe polemics are only permitted on one side of the argument. This is not healthy for science or policymaking.
23 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
Maybe the symbolism of Barack Obama giving a major speech this week at Berlin's Victory Column -- a 19th-century monument to Prussia's military triumphs -- isn't as incongruous at it might seem. After all, it was Frederick the Great -- the 18th-century Prussian monarch who transformed his kingdom into the dominant German state -- who once advised his generals, "He who would defend everything ends up defending nothing."
So a column to commemorating 19th century Prussian imperialism reminds our columnist of a monarch from the previous century who was, hmm, the sort of imperialist that people claim a certain GW Bush is. That would be like claiming that a politician in 2008 was like one in 1870. Frederick the Great may well have said "He who would defend everything ends up defending nothing" but he was also keen on waging war through flimsy pretexts (the First Silesian war) and pre-emptive strikes (the invasion of Saxony that kicked off the Seven Years' War). Neither of these actions are the sorts of things that liberals praise under normal circumstances.You can't deploy everywhere in strength, Frederick was saying, and that's a lesson Obama seems to understand a lot better than John McCain does. At a news conference in Jordan yesterday, Obama reiterated his belief that Afghanistan, not Iraq, is "the central front in the war against terrorism" and that confronting that reality requires drawing down the number of U.S. forces stationed in Iraq.
This is laughable. Afghanistan is the central front in the war against terrorism because all the (surviving) terrorists have decided that fighting in Iraq is pointless suicide. In other words we're winning in Iraq and those enemies who can are getting out to save their skin. Obama has been talking about pulling out of Iraq for years, even in late 2006 when Iraq almost certainly was the central front in the war against terrorism and we were (arguably) losing the war there.Obama has been making this case for many months. But it was not until last week that McCain acknowledged that our war in Afghanistan was not going well and would require additional forces. Unlike Obama, however, McCain does not favor reducing the number of U.S. troops in Iraq by any timetable and has yet to stipulate where our overcommitted military will find the forces to send to Afghanistan.
Good thing McCain wasn't one of Frederick's generals. He would have been cashiered.
See note above. Obama has been making this 'case' not for many months but for years. Even when it was a bad idea. And you have to enjoy the rhetorical sleight of hand that makes a lack of fixed timetable for troop withdrawal equivalent to not withdrawing any troops. McCain has in fact talked about withdrawing some trooops from Iraq but has declared that it is wiser to let the folks on the ground (i.e. Gen Petraeus & co) decide how many troops to remove and when to do so. In fact McCain clearly intends to switch troops from Iraq to Afghanistan but not to do it at the cost of suffering a reverse in Iraq. In other words McCain is in fact following the Frederick the Great dictum, just combining it with the unoriginal idea that you don't stop one hard fought campaign shortly before victory to try and get a victory somewhere else. One suspects that Frederick the Great would actually be cashiering a General Obama for his proposed strategy.McCain's campaign has been knocked off stride -- not that it was ever entirely on stride -- by Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's endorsement of Obama's withdrawal timetable. Campaigning in Maine on Monday, the Arizona senator tried the kitchen sink approach in attacking his rival, saying that Obama had been "completely wrong" about Iraq and the surge, that the disposition of U.S. forces in Iraq couldn't be set by a timetable but had to comport to conditions on the ground, and, for good measure, that Obama had "no military experience whatsoever."
Maliki's endorsement was of a withdrawal based upon actual conditions not a rigid timetable. It just so happens that at present al-Maliki believes (or claims for his own internal Iraqi political reasons to believe) that conditions for US withdrawal will be similar to the rigid timetable Obama proposes to implement from January 2009. It is entirely possible that by January 2009 he will have changed his mind because conditions on the ground have changed.But in his insistence that conditions on the ground should determine the rate of withdrawal of U.S. forces, McCain omits one key condition: the willingness of the Iraqi people and their government to keep those forces in their country. If Iraqis' elected leaders say it's time for us to go, and the U.S. generals there disagree, whose counsel do we heed?
Good question. But one that doesn't seem to be relevant since, at least as far as I cna tell, the two groups agree.Appearing at the Council on Foreign Relations in 2004, McCain was asked this very question -- what we should do if a sovereign Iraqi government asked us to leave, even if Iraq was not yet secure. "I don't see how we could stay," he answered then, "when our whole emphasis and policy has been based on turning the Iraqi government over to the Iraqi people."
Now that the Iraqi government has expressed its clear preference for a departure of U.S. forces along the timeline suggested by Obama, however, McCain argues that the decisive judgment should not be theirs but our field generals'. The person who should determine the course and duration of our mission is Gen. David Petraeus.
So much for the sovereignty thing. So much for rehabilitating post-Bush America in the eyes of the world.
I'm still not seeing a problem here. No successful military can allow itself to obey orders from foreign politicians, nor should Presidents of the USA commit themselves to meekly doing what another country's politicians insist on. And that of course ignore the fact that other Iraqi politicians (as the Wapo itself reports) explicitly DON'T WANT US troops withdrawn too fast.Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who has a history of tailoring his public statements for political purposes, made headlines by saying he would support a withdrawal of American forces by 2010. But an Iraqi government statement made clear that Mr. Maliki's timetable would extend at least seven months beyond Mr. Obama's. More significant, it would be "a timetable which Iraqis set" -- not the Washington-imposed schedule that Mr. Obama has in mind. [...] Other Iraqi leaders were more directly critical. As Mr. Obama acknowledged, Sunni leaders in Anbar province told him that American troops are essential to maintaining the peace among Iraq's rival sects and said they were worried about a rapid drawdown.
Furthermore, as the quote above makes clear, politicians frequently make public statements that contradict private statements made behind closed doors ( as a certain presidential hopeful did WRT Canada and NAFTA). It is entirely plausible, indeed likely, that Iraqi politicians for political reasons will publicly ask the US to withdraw faster than they actually want. Finally if the US were to withdraw too fast and Iraq collapsed into a civil war then that would not in fact rehabilitate post-Bush America in the eyes of the world, rather it would strengthen the Bin Laden viewpoint that the US never sticks things out and can therefore always be defeatedAnd what of McCain's assertion that Obama "has no military experience whatsoever"? It's incontestably true, of course. What's more germane, and clearer with each passing day, however, is that Obama's capacities as a national strategist -- the most important qualification for a commander in chief -- far outshine McCain's. Victory, in McCain's view, is the result of will and fortitude -- an understandable belief for anyone who survived half a decade as a prisoner of war in North Vietnam. Had we been more steadfast in Vietnam, he believes, we could have won. Likewise in Iraq, even though the rifts in that nation are not ultimately susceptible to foreign military might.
Nice of you to admit that Obama doesn't actually have any military experience. It would be nice of you could provide an example of how Obama's capacity as a 'national strategist' far outshine McCain's. This couldbe tricky because Obama doesn't seem to have done anything strategic ever apart from coming up with a strategy to become US president. It may hurt Mr Meyerson but in fact the McCain view of Vietnam does seem to be correct. When US troops left the Viet Cong were militarily defeated as was N Vietnam. Unfortunately for the S Vietnamese their Northern neighbours were able to rearm courtesy of the Soviet Union while the US declined to assist the Southern Vietnamese in the same way. Hence, unsurprisingly, they lost. A bit more steadfastness and sticking up for ones alleged allies by the US might have done wonders.But fortitude and will are only part of the formula for success. A good president has to know which battles to fight militarily and which diplomatically, which battles are primary and which secondary. By these measures, Obama -- who always viewed the Iraq fight as a distraction from hunting down al-Qaeda and who understands that peace in Iraq depends on a political accommodation among Iraqi groups -- is clearly the better strategist.
So the diplomatic campaign against Sadam which lasted from the ceasefire at the end of GWI in 1991 until 2003 and which resulted in a multi-billion dollar bribery scam was a success? That's like saying Al Gore's movie is the gospel truth. As for political accomodation in Iraq. Said accomodation is always going to be more likely if the politicians don't fear that they (or those they represent) are going to be the targets of bombs, death squads etc. Retaining a presence in Iraq until the politicians have actually come to their accomodation and had that essentially accepted by the people seems like a far wiser strategy to me.Military experience isn't an infallible guide to who might make the better commander. Jefferson Davis, after all, graduated from West Point, served with distinction (and with the rank of colonel) in the Mexican War and was secretary of war in the Franklin Pierce administration. Abraham Lincoln served roughly three months in a volunteer militia during the Black Hawk War and never saw action, and he was a vocal congressional opponent of the Mexican War. But Davis had no aptitude for national strategy during the Civil War, while Lincoln emerged as the North's master strategist. That's not to say that Obama is a budding Lincoln and McCain a second Jeff Davis. But by the Frederick the Great standard, Obama already looks to be the smarter commander.
It's very nice of you to admit that you shouldn't draw too many parallels between Obama and Lincoln/ McCain and Davis even though you clearly use that disclaimer in a way similar to the damning with faint praise technique, however I don't think in fact you have proved that Obama would be prefered to McCain by someone like Frederick the Great. In other words all you have actually done in this entire article is show that some journalists swoon after Obama in the way that makes the rest of us wonder just what koolaid they have drunk. Congratulations.
25 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
25 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
One of eight captives released on Thursday, Ana Lucia Chaverra, said her view of the rebels had changed.
"I used to have a different impression about the guerrillas, but now that's changed because they treated us with dignity," she said.
Precious isn't it. They treated me with dignity. Of course the 2 remaining hostages (and their families/friends/employers etc.) may beg to differ since they are likely to remain until a substantial ransom has been paid. The article also points out that:It was the first major operation involving the Red Cross in Colombia since the organisation criticised the government for allowing the use of its emblem to help trick the rebels into handing over Ms Betancourt and the other high-profile hostages.
The BBC's Jeremy McDermott in Bogota says the latest release suggests the Farc has not lost faith in the humanitarian organisation.
"The operation was made possible through discreet dialogue between the parties concerned," said Yves Heller, an ICRC spokesman in Colombia.
So the Red Cross are happy that they can still maintain 'discreet dialogue' with a would be liberation force that has turned to drugs, kidnapping and other banditry instead of the more traditional forms of combat. That's even more precious. One wonders whether the ICRC also maintains 'discreet dialogue' with the mexican drug cartels? It seems likely that it does so with the Afghan ones since they are sure to call themselves Taleban.Two people who helped rescue 15 hostages from Colombian rebels posed as journalists from a real Venezuela-based television news organization, Colombia's defense minister said Wednesday.
Two of the nine rescuers assumed the roles of journalist and cameraman from the news organization TeleSUR during the daring rescue[...] TeleSUR's general director of information, Armando Jimenez, said the company was preparing a response.
Jean-Francois Julliard, deputy director of the press advocacy organization Reporters Without Borders, said authorities can endanger journalists when they pose as members of the news media.
"We think it is a dangerous practice because it puts in danger real journalists," he said.
The next time a reporter approaches FARC rebels, he said, the FARC members "will be very suspicious and maybe they will take some physical measures against these journalists because they will think that they are not real journalists."
This is all supposed to be a bad thing. I don't see why. It seems to me that the world mught be a significantly better place if journalists were unwilling to cozy up to terrorists. Ditto with the ICRC. Terrorists, especially ones who finance themselves through crime, should not be treated as if they are a nation.
25 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
28 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
29 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
Update: Climate Audit now links to this new paper that shows how flawed many (all?) climate models are when it comes to predictions
30 July 2008 Blog Home : All July 2008 Posts : Permalink
Data from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) shows that the year began with ice covering a larger area than at the beginning of 2007.
But now it is down to levels seen last June, at the beginning of a summer that broke records for sea ice loss.
Scientists on the project say much of the ice is so thin as to melt easily, and the Arctic seas may be ice-free in summer within five to 10 years.[...]
"I think we're going to beat last year's record melt, though I'd love to be wrong," said Dr Stroeve.
Well as the BBC reports today, in an article that mostly talks about a large chunk of ice breaking off, it looks like Dr Strove is going to be wrong.
The polar north is once again experiencing a rapid ice retreat this year, although many scientists doubt the record minimum extent of 4.3m sq km of sea-ice seen in 2007 will be beaten.
Odd that. Six weeks ago there was bleating that we were in danger of record ice loss, now we note that hmm it probably won't be. Something that was predicted at the time, more or less, by Steve McIntyre. Curiously the "See also" links to side of this second article don't include the first one, and while the first had the NSIDC graphic showing the decline it doesn't make it easy to click and see the the current one.
